Climate warming is expected to positively alter upward and poleward treelines which are controlled by low temperature and a short growing season. Despite the importance of treelines as a bioassay of climate change, a global field assessment and posterior forecasting of tree growth at annual scales is lacking. Using annually resolved tree-ring data located across Eurasia and the Americas, we quantified and modeled the relationship between temperature and radial growth at treeline during the 20th century. We then tested whether this temperature–growth association will remain stable during the 21st century using a forward model under two climate scenarios (RCP 4.5 and 8.5). During the 20th century, growth enhancements were common in most sites, and temperature and growth showed positive trends. Interestingly, the relationship between temperature and growth trends was contingent on tree age suggesting biogeographic patterns in treeline growth are contingent on local factors besides climate warming. Simulations forecast temperature–growth decoupling during the 21st century. The growing season at treeline is projected to lengthen and growth rates would increase and become less dependent on temperature rise. These forecasts illustrate how growth may decouple from climate warming in cold regions and near the margins of tree existence. Such projected temperature–growth decoupling could impact ecosystem processes in mountain and polar biomes, with feedbacks on climate warming.
Related Resources
Current Symptoms of Climate Change in Boreal Forest Trees and Wildlife
Resource Date:
2023
Climate-informed Forecasts Reveal Dramatic Local Habitat Shifts and Population Uncertainty for Northern Boreal Caribou
Resource Date:
February
2023
Forest Landscape Restoration Legislation and Policy: A Canadian Perspective
Resource Date:
2022
National Tree Seed Centre Webinar - Harvesting Wild Berry Crops
Resource Date:
June
2022
Was this helpful?
|